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Hamilton Favored to Win His 7th Canadian GP Title

June 7, 2018

Lewis Hamilton is predicted by most sportsbooks to win Canadian GP 2018 because of his stunning record on the Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve and his late braking ability.

Meanwhile, Sebastian Vettel’s odds indicate that bookmakers see the Ferrari driver’s potential to stop Hamilton from winning his seventh title in Montréal. On the other hand, sportsbooks do not have an optimistic view for Max Verstappen and Daniel Ricciardo for the coming race because of a disappointing finish in Monaco as well as a grid penalty. Bettors now ask if Hamilton will win the Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve again this year or the Ferrari and Red Bull teams will defy the odds to stop the Mercedes team from earning points in the next Grand Prix.

Hamilton Targets Seventh Canadian GP Title

Hamilton now takes the top spot in the odds chart with 2.37 odds from William Hill and 2.30 odds from Bet365. On the other hand, Vettel, the second favored to win the next race, stands with 2.75 odds to win on Bet365 2.62 on William Hill.

One of the factors for Hamilton’s odds for the next Grand Prix is his past achievement on the Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve. Hamilton grabbed the pole position and finished first on his debut Canadian GP in 2007. Throughout the 10 qualifying rounds of the Montréal race, the Mercedes driver took the pole position six times, finished 2nd about three times, and placed 5th only once. In all his ten entries, the lowest place that Hamilton finished was 3rd in 2013, excluding the times he did not finish the race in 2008, 2011, and 2014.

Hamilton’s stunning record is partly because of the Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve’s tight corners that suit his style of driving. The track’s layout provides him many opportunities for overtaking.

Hamilton said:

“Once you get to the corners it’s a bit like a go-kart track. It’s a lot more of a mechanical, technical circuit, and it suits an aggressive driving style. You have to be generally more aggressive than we can be at other circuits.”

Another reason for Hamilton’s achievements is his late braking capabilities in the Canadian GP. Hamilton can overtake most of his opponents by hitting the brakes as late as possible when entering the corner. This allows the Brit driver to exit the corner at higher speeds than other drivers.

| Related: Ricciardo & Verstappen Get Better Odds for Monaco GP 2018

Vettel, Verstappen, and Ricciardo Challenge Hamilton

Vettel will be a serious contender for Hamilton in Canada because of the Ferrari’s performance. Ferrari cars are very quick on long and fast straights which are present in the next race.

Other opponents that can prevent Hamilton from winning are the Red Bull Team. Bookmakers, however, find it hard to see any of the Red Bull drivers overtake the Brit driver in Montréal. Bet365 and William Hill have Verstappen at 10.00 odds. Meanwhile, Ricciardo gets 26.00 odds from Bet365 23.00 from William Hill.

One reason for the Red Bull driver’s odds is Verstappen finishing ninth in Monaco because of a crash incident during the qualifiers. The crash led to Verstappen starting at the bottom in the last Grand Prix last week and struggling to reach ninth.

Despite winning the Monaco GP 2018, Ricciardo’s low odds come from a grid penalty because of a defective MGU-K, the motor generator of his car. This requires the team to replace the part out of schedule, violating F1 rules. The rules state that each driver can use up to four of the main components of an F1 car during a season which takes up to 20 races. Drivers can replace up to two MGU-Ks per season without incurring a penalty. But in Ricciardo’s case, the damaged part was already his second MGU-K. The third replaced incurred a 10-place penalty for the next race.

Adrian Newey, a technician for Red Bull Racing, said:

“He will definitely be taking some penalties in Montreal, we haven’t heard at the moment just how many. One of things there is whether the battery was damaged or not in Monaco, so until we know that from Renault we don’t know exactly what we’re facing. The [MGU-K] is definitely a penalty. I rather doubt it [can be reused], considering it caught fire and was a burnt out, charred wreck,”

The grid penalty will force Ricciardo to start at 10th place. This will make it hard for the Australian driver to end the race a victor as he still needs to overtake eight people to reach Hamilton.

While Hamilton has a historic advantage in the next GP, Vettel is a close threat to the World Champion’s seventh Canadian GP title. Verstappen’s failure in Monaco by crashing during the qualifiers can also be a wakeup call to make the young Red Bull driver give his best in the next race. Ricciardo’s track record in overtaking multiple drivers in the last Grand prix this season might also make punters see him take this year’s title.

| Related: Ricciardo’s Odds Improve for Azerbaijan GP 2018